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How AI and underground markets fuel a $70 billion cybercrime industry

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The global cybercrime landscape has evolved beyond isolated hackers operating in the shadows.

An underground economy of cybercriminal marketplaces is expanding, offering illicit services that lower the barriers to entry for digital fraudsters.

These networks provide hacking tools, stolen data, and AI-powered scam technology for purchase, allowing even unskilled individuals to engage in cybercrime.

With transactions surpassing $70 billion, platforms like Huione Guarantee are central to this underground economy, enabling criminals to operate on an unprecedented scale.

Cybercrime-as-a-service (CaaS) is no longer confined to the darknet but is increasingly visible on public messaging platforms like Telegram.

As authorities struggle to contain the growth of these networks, experts warn that the rise of AI-driven scams and deepfake fraud is making it harder than ever to distinguish between legitimate and malicious activities.

Cybercrime as a service grows

Cybercrime has shifted from isolated efforts to a structured, organised industry. In the past, technical expertise was essential to execute online fraud, but today’s cybercriminals can simply buy the tools they need.

The emergence of CaaS platforms has made fraud more accessible, allowing individuals to purchase phishing kits, ransomware tools, and identity theft services without any coding knowledge.

The darknet has long been home to such marketplaces, but Huione Guarantee is proof that cybercriminals are operating in more visible spaces.

The Chinese-language platform, reportedly linked to Cambodia’s Huione Group, has processed billions in cryptocurrency transactions since 2021.

It acts as a peer-to-peer marketplace, directing potential buyers to private Telegram groups where they can access hacking services, money laundering tools, and fraudulent investment platforms.

By acting as an escrow service, Huione Guarantee facilitates seamless transactions while shielding its users from detection.

AI scams and deepfake fraud

As cybercriminal networks expand, so does the sophistication of their tactics. AI-generated deepfake videos and voice cloning technology have transformed scams, making fraudulent transactions harder to detect.

Last year, Hong Kong police reported a case where a finance worker at a multinational firm was tricked into transferring $25 million after cybercriminals used deepfake technology to impersonate the company’s chief financial officer in a video call.

This level of deception was once considered impossible without advanced technical skills, but now, fraudsters can easily access AI-powered scam technology.

Cybercriminals use stolen social media accounts, synthetic identities, and AI-generated content to create realistic fake personas.

Victims are lured into investment scams, romance fraud, or business email compromise attacks, with many losing thousands before realizing they have been deceived.

The expansion of AI tools has also made phishing campaigns more effective. Scam emails and messages are now personalised and human-like, increasing the likelihood of successful attacks.

Criminal organisations operating these networks are structured like legitimate companies, with dedicated customer support, marketing, and refund policies to maintain trust within their illicit marketplaces.

Law enforcement struggles

Law enforcement agencies face significant challenges in tackling cybercrime, as shutting down one marketplace often results in another taking its place.

The sheer scale of illicit activities makes it difficult to track and dismantle these networks.

Experts warn that cybercrime cannot simply be eradicated through arrests—prevention and public awareness are critical.

Interpol has highlighted the need for stronger cybersecurity frameworks and educational initiatives to help individuals and businesses recognise and counter digital threats.

Meanwhile, companies are investing in AI-driven security systems and dark web monitoring tools to detect stolen data and prevent cyberattacks before they occur.

With cybercrime becoming more accessible than ever, experts stress the urgency of investing in advanced security measures to protect sensitive data.

As the underground cyber economy continues to grow, individuals and businesses alike must remain vigilant against emerging threats, ensuring that technological advancements are used for security rather than exploitation.

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